In my last article I analyzed the COVID data from NYC to show that for the general population, the overall risk of death from the new coronavirus is very low. I concluded that the quarantine measures we have taken are too extreme and advised that if you want to get a better sense of the impact of this virus, you should look at good sources of data like Worldometer.com or even the CDC.* Since then, I have been trying to find more information, particularly on the age distribution of deaths.
The CDC website* does not have good demographic information on COVID deaths but the Georgia Department of Public Health webpage does. The GA site is excellent and is loaded with a lot of useful information on COVID like how to protect yourself, how to get a test and what symptoms to look for. It also has guidance for schools, churches, restaurants, employers, and healthcare facilities. I recommend you check it out.
Their Daily Status Report is very useful because it allows you to download the demographic data on all Georgia cases and draw your own conclusions. I created the bar graph below from their data.
When you look at the graphs it is easy to see that the novel Coronavirus is most dangerous for the elderly. As of May 5th, the median age of death was 75 and 63.8% of all deaths occurred in those over 70.
The GA data shows that the virus is not very dangerous for the young- in fact there was not a single death from COVID in anyone under the age of 22 and there were only 6 deaths in those under the age of 30. In addition, there were only 22 deaths in those under 60 who had no know medical conditions.
The takeaway message is that protecting the elderly is very important. Those who are 70 and above and those with medical conditions should be very cautious and stay away from anybody who is at risk of transmitting the virus. For now, I think they should avoid public spaces as much as possible and the young and healthy should commit to helping them.
*There is good data on CDC.gov but you have to really hunt for it and he information is often presented in a way that is misleading. Be careful. Their lack of clarity is evident when you read their information on Influenza and Flu. I will post some articles explaining the difference between Influenza and "Flu" and compare them to SARS-COV-2 .
We are screening all our patients carefully to ensure that you will be safe here. We are currently not seeing patients in our office who have fever or COVID symptoms. We can easily provide consultations over the phone or by video.